What Strategies Should You Use For the Australian Football Pools?

May 8, 2022 0 Comments

Australian football is not at all like soccer, either in the purely physical sense, or in its organisation. It is generally accepted (and supported by statistics) that Australian football teams play closer to form than do teams in British soccer. For example, the range of playing standard between top and bottom teams in a league is quite wide leading to greater predictability. Player injuries and transfers, and forfeit games (due to no-shows) are other factors which can have a heavy influence on a team’s performance profile. These and other statistical quirks have a direct effect on the strategies to be adopted for football pools betting.

Firstly, a basic fact about the statistics: Teams come and go (and change their names) very often in Australian football. A team may disappear for a season or two and then re-form. So, tracking teams in a statistics database can be quite a challenge.

Leagues

Digging at the statistics shows that some leagues have much higher standards than others, and in particular some leagues have much higher draw percentages than others (for example South Australia), whereas other leagues have a much lower percentage of draws. So, if you are playing the treble chance (draw games) then you bias your selections towards the leagues with higher draw rates – that is forecasting more draws in the upper half of the coupon. Obviously, this depends on using a suitable performance rating system toการเดิมพันของ UFABET assess likely match outcomes, before introducing bias.

A peculiar aspect of Australian football is that sequences can appear to be very strange. It is not at all unusual for a team losing at home to go win their next match (if it is an away). The numbers bear this out, but the explanations can be a bit difficult to fathom. One view which I favour is that this is related to the range of playing standards within given leagues.

The reverse also carries weight too, with a good away win often being followed by a home defeat.

For a pools staking strategy, this means that sequences are important, much more so than in the British pools.